China Sees Stability Amid Trump's Lame-Duck Presidency

China has maintained a stable relationship with the United States since the end of the 2025 trade war, with Washington showing restraint on chip restrictions and Taiwan policy.

As Trump enters the lame-duck phase of his presidency, his ability to influence foreign policy is limited, though he still holds significant control over key decisions.

Prominent Chinese analysts believe the current state of mutual restraint will persist, though they expect increased pressure from Congress on U.S. trade policies.

A series of pending bills in Congress could tighten U.S. export curbs on China, including measures targeting semiconductor technology and manufacturing facilities.

The Match Act, for example, would direct the administration to identify restricted technologies and push allies to adopt similar controls, increasing scrutiny of Trump’s trade negotiations with Beijing.

Despite ongoing disputes over Taiwan and AI development, both nations have reached a new equilibrium that encourages cooperation to avoid mutual economic harm.

Recent talks between Trump and Chinese leaders have extended the trade truce, providing more time for negotiations even as deep divisions remain over key issues.